10.23.2012

ROAD JOURNAL: Politics Is For Suckers


I don't want to write about politics.  And then I feel the urge to.  There is something in writing where you wonder, "How do writers convince themselves that what they write is worth reading?"  I feel sad every time I post, that what I write isn't good, and if it is, that it will be misunderstood; then I shrug it off, and go on, because, hey, it's written now -- where for it, if not here?
At the moment I write this I am in Rhode Island.  In a Best Western.  I drove nine hours today.  Tired.  And there's five or six things I want to rid myself of, and force onto you -- thereby I can forget about it.  There's my apology.
Last night's debate, the final debate of the season, was curious.  I found myself feeling bad for the President.  He looks tired.  He has the incumbent weight of responsibility in his eyes.  I don't think he has been a bad president.  I didn't think Bush Sr. was a bad president either.  I'm not sure I'm capable of thinking of any president as bad; it is too easy for me to see their failures on a Shakespearean scale, and credit them for attempting an impossible job -- that is: promising just and radical alterations.  It's akin to promising a Super Bowl victory in four years even though the team you're taking over went 2-14.  But to get the job, you must promise a ring.  Here's the president last night, (and to borrow the worn out boxing cliche'), throwing some pretty tired haymakers: inherited shit economy, little girls in Israel, bin laden, car companies; the man's not bullshitting, but it doesn't matter.  I think barring something big, this might be over.  It could come down to who can steal and/or suppress the most votes in Ohio.  It's how it goes.  Aggregating all major polling information, if you compare today to this same day in 2004, (the last incumbent presidential election), and mind you this is the mean number of all national polling data:
the spread is Obama -0.9.  He's down 48.0 to 47.1.  Tight, tight, tight.  But down.
In 04 Bush was at +2.7 at 48.5
The other problem is that on September 23rd of '04 compared to '12, the incumbents were:
Obama: was 48.3 and +3.7
Bush: was 48.6 and +5.2
-- That's no buffer.  It's precipitous.
And hate all you want, Mitt Romney is no John Kerry.  The president's campaign spent 400 million dollars this summer trying to convince the country that is exactly what Mitt Romney is: an out of touch rich dope.
-- Take your personal feelings out of this, and the accuracy of what has been claimed in the three debates, Mitt Romney has rope-a-doped the President.  He stunned him in debate one.  He jabbed through debate two.  And all of a sudden we're in the last debate, and someone finally told Obama that he needs to throw heavy because Romney's moving numbers, thus the haymakers, but now Romney's laying on the ropes like Ali while Foreman punches himself out.  Romney didn't go out to try to attack Obama on Libya, he doesn't think he needs to; he's where he wants to be, doing a Ronald Reagan impression while Barack tries to get his groove back via hack jokes.  Fascinating.  Romney's either two weeks away from being John Kerry, or his debate strategy will be studied in political science courses for how quickly he turned this thing.
-- I don't believe Romney.  But I didn't believe in hope and change either.  I do believe the media today is so wrapped up with bayonets and binders that they missed the real shot last night.  Romney twisted the discussion to China, to trade, clearly his wheel house -- my ears perked up when I heard trade war and US Patents.  I know, not as catchy as magic underpants, (and trust me, I know Romney's not looking for me; he's looking for about six million women.. which, by the by, it looks like Obama's lead in female voters is down from a 12 point lead to 5), but for one moment I thought he was about to do something special -- he cut it short.  Too bad for him.  This dead heat may be the end of his rise, (his path through the electoral college is more difficult to overcome), but I thought he was about to make something happen: socialized state-sponsored medicine, where relatively successful in other countries, is supported by the fact that these countries ignore US patent law, copy billion dollar medication developed by Big Pharm -- it's a parasitic relationship; I'm not knocking these countries for doing it, just that it's not so easy for this country to do it.  If we could knock down these other countries from basically Burger Kinging our invention, (i.e. waiting for McDonalds to do all the research, development, and construction, then move in across the street), maybe Americans could get a better deal on meds.  But we can't afford to not have the meds, right?  It's the same with Chinese manufacture.
-- As written here at The Daily Beast by Peter Beinart, the winner of the foreign policy debate last night is W, because neither candidate talked enough about economic foreign policy, but military foreign policy, and both still under the definitions of a particular cowboy.
-- But here's the other one.  What exactly is wrong with corporate tax breaks?  Had a discussion the other day with another one of these friends of mine that thinks I'm right of Genghis Khan, and this person, extremely socially liberal, could not believe that when she went to Home Depot to purchase tools, found all major brands are made in China.  That's right, something as downright hillbilly American as Craftsman, uses Chinamen slave labor.  Sad stuff, right?  I bit: Would you support a realistic candidate, (rather than idealistic), who would incentivise Craftsmen to stop paying the Chinese 7 cents an hour making deep socket 3/4 inch ratchets, and start paying Americans 15 dollars an hour to make them, thus instantly returning good manufacturing jobs back home, via some tax breaks?  You can call it "profit".  But how else can you get Craftsmen to come back here?  Tax them?  Really?  Real accounting works otherwise.  I'd give obscene tax breaks to any company that manufactures here and only here.  What would ten million jobs do for you?
--   There.  I'm done.  Too tired and about to go off the rails.  I'm voting for Ross Perot.  Just kidding, I'm not voting.
  

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

socialized state-sponsored medicine, where relatively successful in other countries, is supported by the fact that these countries ignore US patent law, copy billion dollar medication developed by Big Pharm -- it's a parasitic relationship; I'm not knocking these countries for doing it, just that it's not so easy for this country to do it

Is this true? I've never heard this before.

Anonymous said...

When was the last time the majority of products were manufactured in the US? What has changed since then? It would be interesting to know what the difference in corporate profit is then vs now in those types of companies that shipped manufacturing jobs overseas. I guess the bind for many people is that with such large profits for so many large companies, when they are enjoying the lowest effective corporate tax rate since the 70's, is lowering that rate really going to be an incentive to bring manufacturing back stateside or is it just going to lead to more profits? Or if the incentive is specifically given FOR hiring US manufacturers, is the difference in pay vs taxes really going to allow them to maintain the profits they are enjoying now?
What did your socially liberal friend think? It is hard to tell from your wording, but did she actually say to tax them?

hny said...

This socially liberal friend acknowledged that incentivising corporations for returning jobs to communities was not completely out of the question -- I'll use the theoretical I used then -- If you were the Governor of Maine would you give Craftsmen Tools an absurd Godfather tax break if they bought property in Rumford, or Lewiston, (or both), and could bring ten thousand jobs? Would you? The set-up I used is riffy -- and maybe I should have specified it was a state level bit. It was a "journal", that's no excuse in that I should have come to this point, which involves your sound point: It's only an incentive if the rate they're operating at needs incentivising.
What else: Oh yeah -- this socially liberal friend exists. And she was buying tools. Honest. Her name may even be on this blog here and there.
Thanks for the comments. I like them. I'll likely wake up an hour from now wishing I could revise this response+

Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

You didn't answer my healthcare question. Are you saying that other national healthcare systems use bootlegged drugs illegally? Considering many big pharamaceutical companies are actually based outside the US (Glaxo, Astra Zeneca, Roche, Novartis) this doesn't make any sense. It's not the case that US owned big pharma is subsidising the rest of the world in this way, I don't think. However, US patients do pay more for drugs than people in other countries. But this is because the US govt doesn't regulate the prices drugs companies charge in the USA. Other govts (the UK's for eg) regulate drugs prices and ensure that drugs companies don't profiteer too much. This situation in the US would probably be improved by having the state more involved in the provision healthcare, yes?

hny said...

Not when it comes to non-life saving medicine -- generic drugs exist day one; drug patents really only protect the companies, (allow them profit on their inventions), for five to ten years before generics can be made by anybody, but no one is waiting even the five years. I don't argue the profiteering, these companies are like movie studios, they're looking to hit big their opening weekend; what they don't want is their movie passed around as a torrent file on opening night; the bigger issue is black market generics, rather than government, I concede it -- however, the canadian system hasn't survived by being tougher in regulating prices; they've survived by generic copies of private label meds. And regarding the profiteering angle, you don't think these med companies invest enough profit back into development? Is development overrated? Or is that something you believe would be better accounted if by the states themselves. Thanks for writing me. I do appreciate being called out, (I mean that). But let's do an exercise here: Is medicine a right? Do we have a moral right to medication before a particular medicine exists? I may be wrong, but I believe in the case of HIV meds, many countries have strong-armed the Pharms for a sweetheart deal, and got it, but not under socialized healthcare, and often under the United State's charity -- but does some Canadian guy really need half off his dick pills?
Either way this is about patent law; regarding the right or wrong, the morality of patent law when it comes to medicine, I already said in the journal bit, I'm not arguing the morality of ripping med patents, but that is what generic meds are, and they are the only way to float that ship.

Anonymous said...

But doing "copies" of generic drugs isn't anything to do with patents as generic drugs aren't covered by patents any more? I don't understand... Anyway, I'm not sure I'm quite up to a full on debate on this subject, I hardly know anything about it. Just didn't like the insinuation that other countries with social healthcare are in some way leeching off US benevolence in doing R and D. Which, incidentally, plenty of Eurpoean companies are also doing. It sounded like right wing US(sorry, I know you don't like to be put into a political box) paranoia.

Thanks for responding. Now get back to your real job!

hny said...

You are right, I should stop typing on a phone, and go earn my check, but before I do -- my last comment was cut off -- it ended with thanking you for the thoughtful response, and going off on a tangent on whether medicine is a moral right; rather: are medicines that have yet to be invented. Let me leave it with this: I freely concede a healthy dose of right wing paranoia -- Love,
NY

Anonymous said...

I don't think I do think medicines are a moral right, but in this country they are something because people pay their taxes. Which is a good thing!

Anonymous said...

Me again - last one. I meant to say that I don't like talking about "moral rights", it makes me nervous. But I do think it is preferable, and admirable if people care for each other. And I think it is preferable, and admirable, if a government cares for its people. And if that includes providing them with medicine, then that is a good thing. There is a very wishy washy English version of socialism for you.

What I don't understand is why clever Americans talk themselves out of something (universal healthcare) which would be beneficial for their society. Is it all part of the American desire to live in the wilderness, shooting bears and cared for by nobody? It's strange.

hny said...

Here's my last one -- I don't completely disagree. But do you get a funny feeling in your stomach when you hear some politician say that the USA has a moral obligation to free other countries from tyranny? If any of that talk makes you feel icky, that's what I feel when I hear the Government should care for people.. a government is a construct incapable of feelings. I'm not bootstrapping; I'm not even going free market survival of the fittest -- I do want government to take steps to improve our lot. In fact I want them to get their fingers in business; I want them to go after companies, and I want them to strong arm other countries economically. I know I'm more conservative than whoever this is, but the way to make the social programs you want, and I wouldn't be opposed to, isn't cutting the throats of business, but giving them and other countries a take it or leave it offer. Billion dollar company takes it's jobs to China, completely venal -- downright unpatriotic; but taxing the shit out of them doesn't make a strong middle class; I know how easily I could be out of a job; if that were to happen, how I could maintain my attempt to get into the middle class, to get by, to continue happily paying my nut to the state, would require another blue collar job. I've thought a million times about the possibility of growing a business of my own -- that daydream involves the ability to make jobs for people; that daydream has never involved buying jet skis, and burning twenty dollar bills in front of hungry kids. I'm not sure if you and I know eachother, I'm writing this as if we do -- either way, thanks for writing me.